Bobby Jindal’s awful, horrible, very bad poll

 

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By Robert Mann

There probably was a time when Gov. Bobby Jindal and his aides believed they could ignore Louisiana as Jindal ramped up his 2016 presidential campaign. I can hear his advisors telling him, “As long as you’re feeding them red meat in Iowa and New Hampshire, no one will care about what you did in Louisiana.”

Well, the consequences of Jindal’s inattention to his home state crashed headlong into his presidential hopes on Tuesday, when Public Policy Polling (PPP) released a wide-ranging survey of 1,141 likely voters, conducted Sept. 25-28.

The survey doesn’t test how Jindal might do in the presidential primaries outside Louisiana. But it does suggest, if not prove, that as a party nominee Jindal would have difficulty carrying his own state against Hillary Clinton. Perhaps that’s because Jindal’s job approval rating is a dismal 34 percent. He’d lose to Edwin Edwards in a hypothetical governor’s race and a large majority say they wish he wouldn’t run for president. And, if he should he become the GOP vice presidential nominee , a strong plurality said Jindal’s presence on the ticket would make them less likely to support the Republican ticket.

In all, it’s a disastrous poll for Jindal.

Fifty-five percent of voters disapprove of Jindal’s job performance. Only 34 percent approve the job he’s doing. And those aren’t just liberal Democrats. Jindal’s performance gets poor ratings from 40 percent of those who describe themselves at “somewhat conservative” and 38 percent of those who consider themselves “very conservative.”

In the survey, potential GOP presidential hopefuls like senators Ted Cruz and Rand Paul and former governors Mike Huckabee and Jeb Bush each outpolled Hillary Clinton in Louisiana in a hypothetical 2016 matchup. Only Jindal and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie finished behind Clinton.

For example, Bush outpolled Clinton 49-41, while Huckabee outpaced her 50-43. Matched with Jindal, however, Clinton finished a point ahead, 46-45.

Louisiana’s voters are overwhelmingly opposed to a Jindal presidential campaign. Only 20 percent of those surveyed like the idea. Sixty-eight percent say he should not run.

If Jindal were the vice presidential nominee, only 28 percent of Louisiana voters surveyed said that would make them more likely to vote for the Republican candidate. Forty-two percent said it would make them less likely to vote Republican. In other words, Jindal might not be able to accomplish the first duty of a vice presidential nominee — carry his or her own state.

In a matchup with Edwin Edwards — who recently finished an eight-year prison sentence on federal racketeering charges — Jindal comes up short. Asked whom they would rather have as governor, Jindal or Edwards, voters chose a felon by a 47 percent to 43 percent margin.

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Sen. Mary Landrieu: She may be a GOP target, but don’t dismiss her re-election chances

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Sen. Mary Landrieu

By Robert Mann

A recent Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey showing Sen. Mary Landrieu leading a slew of potential challengers seems to have signaled the start of the 2014 Louisiana U.S. Senate race — although election day is still 22 long months away.

According to the polling organization, Landrieu “leads all seven [potential opponents] we tested against her, by margins ranging from 3 to 12 points.” Those potential opponents, PPP said, were: Gov. Bobby Jindal, who trails Landrieu, 49 to 41 in a possible match-up; Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne, trailing Landrieu, 46-43; Lake Charles U.S. Rep. Charles Boustany, 48-42; former U.S. Rep. Jeff Landry, 48-39; New Orleans U.S. Rep. Steve Scalise, 48-38; Baton Rouge U.S. Rep. Bill Cassidy, 50-40; and, Shreveport U.S. Rep. John Fleming, 50-38. Not tested by PPP was BESE Board President Chas Roemer, son of former Gov. Buddy Roemer, who recently said that he is looking at he race.

Besides the obvious good news across the board for Landrieu, the picture gets even better when you consider that four of her strongest potential challengers are not likely to run.

Jindal is busy putting together his presidential campaign. Dardenne is expected to run for governor in 2015 [note: since this was first posted, Dardenne has said he will consider the race against Landrieu]. Boustany and Scalise seem content to continue earning seniority and building power in the U.S. House [they have since said they will not run]. Of those polled by PPP, that leaves — as the most likely challengers to Landrieu — Landry, Cassidy and Fleming.

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